South Australian State Election, 2006 - Polling

Polling

Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Roy Morgan polling is conducted face-to-face Australia-wide. Sampling sizes consist of 500–1000 electors, Roy Morgan has a sampling tolerance (the Margin of error) of ±3.2 percent for a 40 to 60 percent rating in a sample size of 1000 electors, and ±4.5 for 500 electors. The sampling tolerance rate is lower for high and low percentages.

Preferred premier ratings^
Date Rann Kerin
Jan – Mar 2007 64% *14%
Oct – Dec 2006 61% *14%
15–16 March 2006 63% 21%
Jan – Feb 2006 59% 19%
Oct – Dec 2005 60% 16%
Jul – Sep 2005 60% 16%
Apr – Jun 2005 60% 17%
Jan – Mar 2005 61% 15%
Pre 2002 election 30% 50%
Source: Newspoll/The Australian
^ Remainder were "uncommitted"
to either leader. * Iain Evans
South Australian state voting intention (Roy Morgan Research)
Political parties Two party preferred
Labor Liberal Democrats Family
First		 SA
Greens		 One
Nation		 Other Labor Liberal
December 2006 55.5% 27.0% 3% 4% 4% 0.5% 6% 66% 34%
March 2006 ¹ 50.5% 30.5% 2% 2% 8% 0.5% 6.5% 61.5% 38.5%
February 2006 ² 50.5% 31.5% 5% 3.5% 4% 0% 5.5% 61.5% 38.5%
January 2006 50.5% 33% 3% 3.5% 4.5% 0.5% 5% 60.5% 39.5%
December 2005 49% 32% 4% 5.5% 4% 1% 4.5% 60.5% 39.5%
October 2005 50% 33% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 0.5% 5% 62.5% 37.5%
August 2005 53% 32% 3% 4% 3.5% 1% 3.5% 62% 38%
June 2005 54% 33% 1% 4% 4% 0.5% 3.5% 62% 38%
2002 Election 36.3% 40% 7.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 8.8% 49.1% 50.9%
Source: Roy Morgan Research – ¹ Post-election announcement – ² Pre-election announcement


South Australian state voting intention (Newspoll Market Research)
Political parties Two party preferred
Labor Liberal National Democrats Family
First		 SA
Greens		 One
Nation		 Other Labor Liberal
Jan – Mar 2007 48% 29% 1% 4% 2% 6% 0% 10% 61% 39%
Oct – Dec 2006 47% 33% 1% 2% 3% 4% 0% 10% 58% 42%
15–16 March 2006 46% 33% 1.5% 1.5% 3% 4% 0% 11% 57% 43%
Jan – Feb 2006 44% 37% 2% 2% 2% 3% 0% 10% 54% 46%
Oct – Dec 2005 46% 35% 2% 1% 2% 4% 0% 10% 56% 44%
Jul – Sep 2005 45% 38% 2% 1% 1% 4% 0% 10% 54% 46%
2002 Election 36.3% 40% 1.5% 7.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 7.3% 49.1% 50.9%
Source: Newspoll/The Australian


Read more about this topic:  South Australian State Election, 2006

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