Polling
Newspoll polling is conducted via random telephone number selection in city and country areas. Roy Morgan polling is conducted face-to-face Australia-wide. Sampling sizes consist of 500–1000 electors, Roy Morgan has a sampling tolerance (the Margin of error) of ±3.2 percent for a 40 to 60 percent rating in a sample size of 1000 electors, and ±4.5 for 500 electors. The sampling tolerance rate is lower for high and low percentages.
| Date | Rann | Kerin |
|---|---|---|
| Jan – Mar 2007 | 64% | *14% |
| Oct – Dec 2006 | 61% | *14% |
| 15–16 March 2006 | 63% | 21% |
| Jan – Feb 2006 | 59% | 19% |
| Oct – Dec 2005 | 60% | 16% |
| Jul – Sep 2005 | 60% | 16% |
| Apr – Jun 2005 | 60% | 17% |
| Jan – Mar 2005 | 61% | 15% |
| Pre 2002 election | 30% | 50% |
| Source: Newspoll/The Australian ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. * Iain Evans |
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| Political parties | Two party preferred | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | Liberal | Democrats | Family First |
SA Greens |
One Nation |
Other | Labor | Liberal | |
| December 2006 | 55.5% | 27.0% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 0.5% | 6% | 66% | 34% |
| March 2006 ¹ | 50.5% | 30.5% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 0.5% | 6.5% | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| February 2006 ² | 50.5% | 31.5% | 5% | 3.5% | 4% | 0% | 5.5% | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| January 2006 | 50.5% | 33% | 3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 5% | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| December 2005 | 49% | 32% | 4% | 5.5% | 4% | 1% | 4.5% | 60.5% | 39.5% |
| October 2005 | 50% | 33% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 5% | 62.5% | 37.5% |
| August 2005 | 53% | 32% | 3% | 4% | 3.5% | 1% | 3.5% | 62% | 38% |
| June 2005 | 54% | 33% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 0.5% | 3.5% | 62% | 38% |
| 2002 Election | 36.3% | 40% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 8.8% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Source: Roy Morgan Research – ¹ Post-election announcement – ² Pre-election announcement |
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| Political parties | Two party preferred | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | Liberal | National | Democrats | Family First |
SA Greens |
One Nation |
Other | Labor | Liberal | |
| Jan – Mar 2007 | 48% | 29% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 0% | 10% | 61% | 39% |
| Oct – Dec 2006 | 47% | 33% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 58% | 42% |
| 15–16 March 2006 | 46% | 33% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 11% | 57% | 43% |
| Jan – Feb 2006 | 44% | 37% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 10% | 54% | 46% |
| Oct – Dec 2005 | 46% | 35% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 56% | 44% |
| Jul – Sep 2005 | 45% | 38% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 10% | 54% | 46% |
| 2002 Election | 36.3% | 40% | 1.5% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 7.3% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Source: Newspoll/The Australian |
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Read more about this topic: South Australian State Election, 2006
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