Sunrise Problem

The sunrise problem can be expressed as follows: "What is the probability that the sun will rise tomorrow?"

The sunrise problem illustrates the difficulty of using probability theory when evaluating the plausibility of statements or beliefs.

According to the Bayesian interpretation of probability, probability theory can be used to evaluate the plausibility of the statement, "The sun will rise tomorrow." We just need a hypothetical random process that determines whether the sun will rise tomorrow or not. Based on past observations, we can infer the parameters of this random process, and from there evaluate the probability that the sun will rise tomorrow.

Read more about Sunrise ProblemOne Sun, Many Days, One Day, Many Suns

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Famous quotes containing the words problem and/or sunrise:

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