Probability (Law & Order: Criminal Intent) - Episodes


See also: List of Law & Order: Criminal Intent episodes
Title Directed by Written by Original air date Production
U.S. viewers
1 23 "Dead" Darnell Martin Teleplay by: Stephanie Sengupta
Story by: René Balcer & Stephanie Sengupta
September 29, 2002 (2002-09-29) E3202 15.80
The murder of a mortician, and the discovery of corpses at a crematorium, leads the detectives to a family man who claims to own a consulting business but is suspected of being a contract killer with a penchant for perfection. Goren attempts to prove the man's guilt by setting up a scheme that puts his "fear of making a mistake" in jeopardy.
2 24 "Bright Boy" Frank Prinzi Teleplay by: Marlane Gomard Meyer
Story by: René Balcer & Marlane Gomard Meyer
October 6, 2002 (2002-10-06) E3205 14.80
The double murder of a social services worker and a deputy mayor lead the detectives to suspect a couple who may have a grudge against the social worker for taking away their children. When they learn that the social worker had taken special interest in a child prodigy being considered for admission to a prestigious, accelerated school, they examine both the boy and his obsessive father.
3 25 "Anti-Thesis" Adam Bernstein Teleplay by: Eric Overmyer
Story by: René Balcer, Eric Overmyer, & Dick Wolf
October 13, 2002 (2002-10-13) E3203 14.60

As Goren and Eames sift through the likely suspects in the murder of a university president and his assistant, they discover that the culprit is a wily adversary who has more than these crimes to hide.

  • This episode starts the first appearance of Nicole Wallace portrayed by Olivia d'Abo.
4 26 "Best Defense" Gloria Muzio Teleplay by: Elizabeth M. Cosin
Story by: René Balcer & Elizabeth M. Cosin
October 20, 2002 (2002-10-20) E3201 14.70
An assistant district attorney, who had been receiving death threats, confronts and kills a hired gunman. Goren and Eames first suspect his wife, a prominent defense attorney, through a convict whose case was being prosecuted by the A.D.A. and the rumors of her romantic affairs. After he realizes there are cracks in the seemingly airtight case, Goren is forced to keep Carver in the dark about some details to prove his theory.
5 27 "Chinoiserie" David Platt Teleplay by: B. Mason
Story by: René Balcer & B. Mason
October 27, 2002 (2002-10-27) E3206 14.10
After a mother of two is shot to death in Chinatown, Goren and Eames first believe her death may be connected to the Tiananmen Square massacre. However, the investigation leads them to a smuggling ring that deals in antiquities.
6 28 "Malignant" Juan J. Campanella & Frank Prinzi Teleplay by: Michael S. Chernuchin
Story by: René Balcer & Michael S. Chernuchin
November 3, 2002 (2002-11-03) E3208 15.00
A robbery that involved two fatalities leads to the discovery of a long-running case of tampering with drugs. Goren and Eames have to figure out a way of catching a pharmacist who has been diluting cancer medication without using the exhumated bodies of patients who had been given the medicine.
7 29 "Tomorrow" Don Scardino Teleplay by: Stephanie Sengupta
Story by: René Balcer & Stephanie Sengupta
November 10, 2002 (2002-11-10) E3207 15.90
The detectives investigate a triple murder, including the son and daughter of a wealthy businessman, that occurred in his apartment. After investigating the children's stepmother (his second wife), they turn to a pair of nannies, one of whom works for the family. However, the detectives must reach back to the nannies' history as children, and a television soap opera, to better understand the motives for the crime.
8 30 "The Pilgrim" Darnell Martin Teleplay by: Marlane Gomard Meyer
Story by: René Balcer & Marlane Gomard Meyer
November 17, 2002 (2002-11-17) E3210 16.20
The detectives are called to investigate the adult daughter of a retired officer which takes them to a case of terrorism involving someone she knew that includes a shipment of explosives.
9 31 "Shandeh" Steve Shill René Balcer December 1, 2002 (2002-12-01) E3216 13.70
A businesswoman who becomes a suspect in the murder of her daughter-in-law, who was strangled in her garage. Disparate bruises on her body lead Goren and Eames to believe that there were two assailants.
10 32 "Con-Text" Alex Zakrzewski Teleplay by: Gerry Conway
Story by: René Balcer & Gerry Conway
January 5, 2003 (2003-01-05) E3213 15.00
Goren and Eames run a con of their own on a phony motivational speaker who they suspect exploited a fragile disciple by convincing him to commit murder for profit.
11 33 "Baggage" Constantine Makris Teleplay by: Theresa Rebeck
Story by: Theresa Rebeck & René Balcer
January 12, 2003 (2003-01-12) E3209 16.20
When an airline baggage supervisor is found murdered in the trunk of her car, the detectives investigate the employees listed in a sexual harassment complaint which leads them to a scam involving credit cards and credit reports with foreign links.
12 34 "Suite Sorrow" Jean de Segonzac Teleplay by: Warren Leight
Story by: René Balcer & Warren Leight
February 2, 2003 (2003-02-02) E3212 15.30
When the wealthy and matronly owner is found naked and murdered with injections of Botox in the bathtub, detectives Goren and Eames focus on the victim's unstable adult daughter who resented her mother's meddling in her love life.
13 35 "See Me" Steve Shill Teleplay by: Jim Sterling
Story by: René Balcer & Jim Sterling
February 9, 2003 (2003-02-09) E3211 15.90
Detectives Goren and Eames come to believe a doctor conducted shameful experiments on the residents of a halfway house.
14 36 "Probability" Frank Prinzi Teleplay by: Gerry Conway
Story by: René Balcer & Gerry Conway
February 16, 2003 (2003-02-16) E3218 14.80
While probing the seemingly random murders of several homeless men, Goren and Eames uncover a scam involving a crooked insurance agent. However, an unusual twist leads the detectives to an unlikely suspect.
15 37 "Monster" Joyce Chopra Teleplay by: Marlane Gomard Meyer
Story by: René Balcer & Marlane Gomard Meyer
March 2, 2003 (2003-03-02) E3214
The murder of a woman in her apartment results in her son, recently paroled after serving 15 years for murder, becoming the prime suspect. Having consulted with the lead detective on the old case, Goren and Eames discover he was involved in a cover-up to rush other cases to closure.
16 38 "Cuba Libre" Darnell Martin Teleplay by: Warren Leight
Story by: René Balcer & Warren Leight
March 9, 2003 (2003-03-09) E3215
After the trophy wife of a recently released prison inmate is murdered, Goren plays on the man's paranoia to find a connection to another inmate with a hit list.
17 39 "Cold Comfort" Constantine Makris Teleplay by: Stephanie Sengupta
Story by: René Balcer & Stephanie Sengupta
March 30, 2003 (2003-03-30) E3217
When a woman suing her brother over the disposition of their father's remains is found murdered, Goren and Eames discover a concealed parentage and a man willing to go to any extremes to ensure his legacy.
18 40 "Legion" Frank Prinzi & Steve Shill Teleplay by: Theresa Rebeck
Story by: Theresa Rebeck & René Balcer
April 6, 2003 (2003-04-06) E3219 15.60
When a father and son are found with their throats slit, the detectives discover a group of adolescent boys have disappeared from the same neighborhood. When the locals don't cooperate with the investigation, the police believe the boys are being used by someone operating a bicycle theft ring.
19 41 "Cherry Red" Frank Prinzi Teleplay by: Jim Sterling
Story by: René Balcer & Jim Sterling
April 27, 2003 (2003-04-27) E3221 13.40
The detectives try to figure out a mystery after an elderly woman dies in a fire. The mystery deepens when the young woman who has been left some of the dead woman's estate is murdered. The case takes them to a state public administrator who has invented a new form of grave-robbing.
20 42 "Blink" Don Scardino Teleplay by: Gerry Conway
René Balcer & Gerry Conway
May 4, 2003 (2003-05-04) E3222 14.30
Goren and Eames investigate the murder of a math student who had worked in a poker club as a card-counter. They uncover a group of computer nerds, then discover a computer gambling system with tougher suspects. The detectives learn even their own workstations are hit by the ringleader of the group.
21 43 "Graansha" Darnell Martin Teleplay by: Joe Gannon
Story by: René Balcer & Joe Gannon
May 11, 2003 (2003-05-11) E3224 13.00
Goren and Eames enter the closed world of a thieving Irish Traveller clan when they investigate the death of a probation officer who had been run over three times by a car after meeting a friend at the bar. They soon learn the probation officer had been involved with one of her charges.
22 44 "Zoonotic" Don Scardino Teleplay by: Warren Leight
Story by: René Balcer & Warren Leight
May 18, 2003 (2003-05-18) E3225 14.50
The investigation into the murder of a crooked cop leads to a preening veterinarian and his friend, an obsessive doctor whose ex-girlfriends have all been infected with a rare disease.
23 45 "A Person of Interest" Frank Prinzi Teleplay by: Warren Leight
Story by: René Balcer & Warren Leight
May 18, 2003 (2003-05-18) E3220 16.20
Goren and Eames investigate the murder of a former nurse and discover a possible anthrax terrorist plot. The case takes a turn for the worse when Goren is blamed for driving a suspect to commit suicide. Now disgraced, Goren learns that a cunning adversary from his past may be involved. Olivia d'Abo guest stars.

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